Articles

Michael Sheehan's Ferraris-online.com Article

Ferraris Ride Unusual Tides

It seems strange when a late non-Chairs and Flares 246 GTS sells for $252,500, while a Chairs and Flares 246 GTS sells for $467,500

As appeared in:

Sports Car Market—November 2012 issue

Sheehan Speaks

by Michael Sheehan

1974 Ferrari Dino 246 GTS “Chairs and Flares” — auctioned at $467,500, a $200,000 gap from a non-Chairs and Flares version sold at Monterey
1974 Ferrari Dino 246 GTS “Chairs and Flares” — auctioned at $467,500, a $200,000 gap from a non-Chairs and Flares version sold at Monterey

The Monterey auctions have again redefined the auction world’s segment of the collector car market, and, as usual, Ferraris are in the top tier of cars.

Gooding offered 15 Ferraris with two no-sales for an 87% close rate and $40,276,500 in sales. RM was close behind with 14 Ferraris on offer, with all selling for a 100% close rate and $30,954,000 in sales. Mecum was a very distant third with 12 Ferraris on offer with three no-sales, for a 75% close rate with $1,622,000 in sales. Russo and Steele had 14 Ferraris on offer with four no-sales for a 71% sold rate and $1,431,100. Bonhams had five Ferraris on offer and two no-sales for a 60% close rate and $710,000 in sales.

The wild world of Dinos and Daytonas

It did seem strange when a late non-Chairs and Flares 246 GTS, s/n 7914, sold for $252,500, while a Chairs and Flares 246 GTS, s/n 7908, sold for $467,500.

There used to be a $25k spread for Chairs and Flares, then a $50k spread, but how does one justify a $200k spread?

How about 330 GTC s/n 10683, which sold for $550,000?

Another example of confusion happened in the Daytona market. At Monterey, three Daytonas changed hands, with s/n 14735 sold at $324k, s/n 16339 for $363k and s/n 15117 sold at $396k. How does one justify not one, not two, but three Daytonas sold below $400k — at $324k to $396k — yet a Dino brought $467,000 and a 330 GTC brought $550,000?

An auction room, like any other open market, can see prices change very rapidly — and sometimes for unseen reasons. These confusing sales could well be outliers that will not be duplicated for the foreseeable future.

Then again, we know there was a lot of money in the auction rooms this year, and billionaires tend to get what they want.

The buyer of the Dino s/n 7908 that sold for $467,500 is a well-known Northwest based billionaire and savvy car collector. It’s safe to speculate that billionaires worry less about $500k.

The seller of both the Chairs and Flares 246 GTS s/n 5820 and the Chairs and Flares s/n 7908 was a well known Southern California dealer who said that both sales were far beyond what he could possibly get on his showroom floor. Finally, the Europeans are bringing cars to the United States to sell.

A one-man market-mover

1962 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spyder, an $8.6m sale
1962 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spyder, an $8.6m sale

What do the sale of 857 Monza s/n 0588M, sold at $6.27m; 340MM s/n 0350AM, sold at $4.73m; 250 SWB Cal Spyder s/n 3119, sold at $8,580,000 and 328 GTS s/n 80610 (with 100 miles), sold at $159,500 all have in common? They all sold to the same billionaire buyer. That buyer, a successful fashion retailer, has bought more than 100 other high-end Ferraris in less than three years — all at auction. One or two very wealthy buyers can move the collector-car market. The late John O’Quinn was an example of that phenomenon.

Market-correct sales

Further down the food chain, there was no lack of Ferraris that sold at market-correct prices or a bit less. Witness 365 GTB/4 s/n 14735, which sold at $324k at Gooding; 365 GTB/4 s/n 16339, which sold for $363k at RM; 365 GTB/4 s/n 16565, which sold for $379,500 at Russo and Steele; and 365 GTB/4 s/n 15117, which sold at $396k at RM.

Further examples of market-correct prices include 365 GTS/4 s/n 14857, which sold at Mecum, or 246 GTS s/n 07914 sold at $252,500 and 330 GTC s/n 10367, which sold for $299,800 at Bonhams.

1973 Ferrari 365 GTB/4 Daytona, sold at a market-correct $363,000
1973 Ferrari 365 GTB/4 Daytona, sold at a market-correct $363,000

So, why is this happening?

There are two perspectives on the ever-escalating prices for top-tier Ferraris. The first perspective is that the current boom in collector cars in the United States is very real, with money chasing best-of-the-best cars, be they a Chairs and Flairs Dino or an SWB California Spyder.

Across the pond, the top of the 1% in Europe are buying. Where else are they going to keep their “spare” money? Euros?

Continuing the positive, relative to the art market, cars are underpriced. When Monet’s water lily painting “Le Bassin aux Nympheas” sold for $80m in 2008, a Ferrari 250 GTO sold for less than 40% of the cost of the painting.

Now a GTO is worth $30m to $35m, while Edvard Munch’s painting “The Scream” recently sold for $120m and the Qatar Royal Families paid out a staggering $250m for the last privately held painting of Paul Cezanne’s “Card Players” series of four works. We can only rationalize that cars have been around for a mere 100-plus years. Art has been around a bit longer — thousands of years.

On the other hand, some very wealthy bidders seem to have no qualms about bidding whatever it takes to win an auction for a best-of-the-best car.

The competitive urge to show that they have the capacity to pay the price may outweigh some wealthy collectors’ desire to be prudent purchasers. As they are Baby Boomers (or older), they know all too well that our fastest depreciation asset is our remaining good health and the ever decreasing number of years we have left on this planet. So why not buy?

Finally, the number of classic cars is not growing, and Ferraris appear to be secure in their position at the top of the pyramid. This pricing tide does not raise all ships equally. Each has its own turn up the price-point ladder for many socio-economic reasons. At the moment, 330 GTCs and Dinos are the flavor of the month. If you’re in the Enzo-era market and not a billionaire, buy a Daytona, as their turn up the price-point ladder has not yet come.